{"id":170,"date":"2026-03-02T01:04:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T01:04:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/?p=170"},"modified":"2026-03-02T01:04:40","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T01:04:40","slug":"investment-report-february-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/?p=170","title":{"rendered":"Investment Report February 2026: &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221; and Middle East Storm"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcc8 Key Metrics for the Month (February 2026)<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Portfolio Return:<\/strong> -0.93% (for the month)<br><strong>Total Portfolio Value:<\/strong> $20,579.03 CAD<br><strong>Monthly Change:<\/strong> -$193.88 CAD<br><strong>YTD 2026 Return:<\/strong> +1.13%<br><strong>Total Invested Since Start:<\/strong> $14,355 CAD (+$800 CAD added in February)<br><strong>Realized Profit:<\/strong> +$6,224.03 CAD<br><strong>ROI Since Start:<\/strong> +43.36%<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Quick Overview<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>February 2026 became one of the most tense months for global markets in recent years. The portfolio finished the month with a small loss of <strong>-0.93% (-$193.88 CAD)<\/strong>, but this is just the tip of the iceberg of events that shook financial markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Two global crises simultaneously:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>&#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;<\/strong> \u2013 massive sell-off of software stocks due to fears that AI will destroy traditional SaaS companies<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>US and Israeli Military Operation Against Iran<\/strong> \u2013 the biggest escalation in the Middle East in decades<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>Against the backdrop of these shocks, I:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u2705 Added <strong>$800 CAD<\/strong> to TFSA<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u2705 Bought 3 new positions: <strong>XRP ETF<\/strong>, <strong>Amazon<\/strong>, <strong>QuantumScape<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc9 Kept the portfolio from larger losses through diversification<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udc8e Received dividends of <strong>$0.81 CAD<\/strong> from Orla Mining<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The month showed the importance of <strong>emotional resilience<\/strong> and a <strong>diversified portfolio<\/strong>. When the tech sector fell 20-30%, my positions in gold, energy, and semiconductors helped smooth the blow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"866\" height=\"448\" src=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/february-2026-portfolio-chart.jpg\" alt=\"Investing portfolio febrauray 2026 real results chart\" class=\"wp-image-171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/february-2026-portfolio-chart.jpg 866w, https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/february-2026-portfolio-chart-300x155.jpg 300w, https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/february-2026-portfolio-chart-768x397.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 866px) 100vw, 866px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Events of the Month:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udcc9 <strong>&#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;<\/strong> \u2013 software fell 20-30% on AI fears<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udca5 <strong>US and Israel attacked Iran<\/strong> \u2013 largest military operation in the region<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udee2\ufe0f <strong>Oil and gas soared<\/strong> \u2013 Venture Global showed +36% for the month<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83e\udd16 <strong>Anthropic released Claude Cowork<\/strong> \u2013 catalyst for panic in SaaS sector<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcb0 <strong>TFSA top-up<\/strong> \u2013 added $800 CAD for new opportunities<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\udd95 <strong>Three new positions<\/strong> \u2013 XRP, Amazon, QuantumScape<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udf2a\ufe0f What Happened to Markets in February: Double Shock<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>February 2026 will be remembered as the month when two global crises hit markets simultaneously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcbb &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;: AI Eating Software<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In early February, Anthropic (the company that created Claude AI) launched <strong>Claude Cowork<\/strong> \u2013 a set of AI agents for automating professional workflows. Specifically, tools were introduced for:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Legal research and analysis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>CRM and customer management<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Business analytics and reporting<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Technical documentation<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why did this cause panic?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traditional SaaS companies (Salesforce, Workday, Atlassian, Intuit) make money on the <strong>&#8220;per-seat pricing&#8221; model<\/strong>. Companies pay for each employee who uses the software.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what if AI agents can do the work of 10-20 employees? Then companies need far fewer &#8220;seats&#8221; in the software, and SaaS companies&#8217; revenue will drop sharply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The consequences were immediate:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>$1 trillion<\/strong> in capitalization wiped from the software sector in a week<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>S&amp;P Software &amp; Services Index fell <strong>23%<\/strong> YTD<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Individual companies fell 30-40% in a month:\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Workday: -10% in a day after earnings<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Atlassian: -35% in a week<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Intuit: -34% in a quarter<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Thomson Reuters: -16% in a day<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Analyst reaction was divided:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2705 <strong>Optimists<\/strong> (JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Wedbush):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>&#8220;The sell-off has gone too far&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>&#8220;Entrenched companies (Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce) have moats&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>&#8220;AI won&#8217;t replace but complement traditional software&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u274c <strong>Pessimists<\/strong> (Piper Sandler, Jefferies):<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>&#8220;This is a structural decline, like newspapers&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>&#8220;Per-seat model is dead&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>&#8220;AI-native companies are replacing legacy SaaS&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Apt quote<\/strong> from Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;If there is a &#8216;SaaSpocalypse&#8217;, it may be eaten by the &#8216;SaaS-quatch&#8217; because there are a lot of companies using a lot of SaaS because it just got better with agents.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udf0d US and Israeli Military Operation Against Iran<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The second crisis hit at the end of the month \u2013 <strong>February 28, 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The US and Israel launched a <strong>joint large-scale military operation against Iran<\/strong> with code names:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>&#8220;Roaring Lion&#8221;<\/strong> (Israel)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>&#8220;Operation Epic Fury&#8221;<\/strong> (US)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What happened:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Strike on leadership:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Killed Iran&#8217;s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Over 40 high-ranking Iranian commanders killed<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Military facilities destroyed across the country<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Operation objectives:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Destruction of Iran&#8217;s nuclear program<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Elimination of missile capabilities<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Regime change<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Iranian response:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Massive missile strikes on US bases in the Persian Gulf<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Attacks on Israel<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Threat to block the Strait of Hormuz (20% of world&#8217;s oil)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Casualties:<\/strong>\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>3 US service members killed<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>5 seriously wounded<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Hundreds of Iranian military and civilians<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>World reaction:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83c\udde8\ud83c\uddf3 China: &#8220;Unacceptable, pushing the region into an abyss&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\uddf7\ud83c\uddfa Russia: &#8220;Reckless step, betrayal of diplomacy&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf3 UN: &#8220;Threat to international peace and security&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\uddea\ud83c\uddfa EU: &#8220;Call for de-escalation&#8221;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Market impact:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udee2\ufe0f Oil: +8% in a day (fears of Hormuz Strait closure)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u26fd Gas: +12% (Venture Global shot up +36%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcc9 Markets: Volatility, flight to safe havens<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\udfc5 Gold: New all-time high<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Geopolitical context:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This isn&#8217;t the first confrontation:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>2024: Series of direct clashes<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2025: 12-day war with US strikes on nuclear facilities<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026: January \u2013 indirect negotiations in Oman failed<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2026: February \u2013 biggest escalation in decades<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udd95 February Acquisitions: 3 Companies<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In February, I added <strong>$800 CAD<\/strong> to TFSA and added three new positions of different natures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. \ud83d\udcb0 XRP (Evolve Funds Group \u2013 Evolve XRP ETF) \u2013 20 shares at $6.34 CAD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Total Investment:<\/strong> $126.80 CAD<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $318.00 CAD<br><strong>Current Return:<\/strong> -23.97%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> ~1.54% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Investment Thesis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>XRP ETF is exposure to cryptocurrency <strong>XRP (Ripple)<\/strong>. In February, I decided to increase this position by adding another 20 shares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why XRP, not Bitcoin or Ethereum?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Legal precedent<\/strong>: In 2023, a court ruled that XRP is not a security in most cases. This opened doors for mass adoption.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Real use<\/strong>: Ripple is used by banks for international transfers. It&#8217;s not &#8220;just speculation&#8221; but a working tool.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Growing adoption<\/strong>: More and more banks and financial institutions are integrating RippleNet.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Portfolio diversification<\/strong>: Adds crypto exposure without direct crypto purchase and storage.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why through ETF?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>No need for crypto wallets<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>No risk of losing keys<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Simpler taxation (within TFSA)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Regulated investment<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Strategy:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Small speculative position (1.5% of portfolio). This is a &#8220;lottery ticket&#8221; with 2-3x potential, but with understanding that I could lose everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Risks:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Crypto market is extremely volatile<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Regulatory uncertainty<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Competition from Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>XRP trading at -24% from my entry price<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \ud83d\udce6 AMZN (Amazon) \u2013 2 shares at $205.79 USD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Total Investment:<\/strong> $411.58 USD<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $627.69 USD<br><strong>Current Return:<\/strong> -0.87%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> ~3.05% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Investment Thesis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Amazon needs little introduction. It&#8217;s one of the <strong>&#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221;<\/strong> \u2013 the world&#8217;s largest tech companies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why did I finally buy Amazon?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Honestly, I&#8217;ve always wanted to have Amazon in my portfolio, but <strong>the price always seemed high<\/strong>. In February, the stock dipped due to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>General tech sector correction<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fears that AI might hurt AWS (Amazon Web Services)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Profit-taking after 2 years of rally<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I decided to use this opportunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Three Pillars of Amazon:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>E-commerce<\/strong>: Dominance in online retail\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>40%+ market share in US<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Growing presence in Europe, Asia<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Amazon Prime \u2013 200+ million subscribers<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AWS (Amazon Web Services)<\/strong>: Cloud computing leader\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>32% of global market (more than Microsoft Azure + Google Cloud)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Amazon&#8217;s most profitable segment (70%+ operating profit)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AI infrastructure: companies train models on AWS<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Advertising<\/strong>: Third largest advertising business (after Google and Meta)\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Growth 25%+ per year<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>High-margin business<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why now is a good time?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Stock fell from peaks<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AWS continues to dominate AI infrastructure<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>E-commerce remains strong<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Advertising business showing 25%+ growth<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Strategy:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Long-term hold 5-10 years. Amazon is a company that <strong>will win from all megatrends<\/strong>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AI (AWS)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>E-commerce growth<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Digital advertising<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Risks:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Antitrust investigations<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Competition in AWS (Microsoft, Google)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>E-commerce growth slowdown<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>High valuation (P\/E ~50)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \ud83d\udd0b QS (QuantumScape) \u2013 8 shares at $9.39 USD<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Total Investment:<\/strong> $75.12 USD<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $55.21 USD<br><strong>Current Return:<\/strong> -26.51%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> ~0.27% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Investment Thesis<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>QuantumScape is <strong>pure gambling<\/strong>. This is a company developing <strong>solid-state batteries<\/strong> for electric vehicles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why does this matter?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Traditional lithium-ion batteries have limitations:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Slow charging (30-60 minutes)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Limited range (~400-500 km)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Degradation over time<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Fire risk<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Solid-state batteries promise:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u26a1 Fast charging (15 minutes to 80%)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\ude97 Doubled range (~800-1000 km)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udd0b Longer lifespan<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udee1\ufe0f Greater safety<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The problem:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>QuantumScape doesn&#8217;t yet <strong>produce batteries commercially<\/strong>. This is a pre-revenue company that:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Burns millions of dollars on R&amp;D<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Has a partnership with Volkswagen<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Promises mass production in 2026-2027<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why did I buy?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a <strong>lottery ticket<\/strong> with 10-20x potential if everything works out. But with understanding that there&#8217;s a high probability I&#8217;ll lose all the money.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The position is so small (0.27% of portfolio)<\/strong> that even if the stock goes to zero, it won&#8217;t hurt the portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Strategy:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding as <strong>speculation<\/strong>. If QuantumScape announces:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Successful mass production<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Large contracts with automakers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Technology breakthrough<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The stock could shoot up 500-1000%. If not \u2013 I lose $75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Risks (very high):<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Company may not achieve commercial production<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Competition from Toyota, Samsung, others<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Technology may not work at scale<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Cashburn \u2013 company loses money quarterly<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Stock already fell -26% from my entry price<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Honest conclusion:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is gambling, not investing. But with such a small position \u2013 why not? \ud83c\udfb2<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"728\" height=\"963\" src=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/tfsa-portfolio-february-2026.jpg\" alt=\"Real TFSA portfolio end of February 2026\" class=\"wp-image-172\" srcset=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/tfsa-portfolio-february-2026.jpg 728w, https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/tfsa-portfolio-february-2026-227x300.jpg 227w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 728px) 100vw, 728px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfc6 Top Positions of the Month<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udfe2 Best Performers of February<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines) \u2013 +137.10% \ud83c\udfc6<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $1,383.81 CAD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> +137.10%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 6.72% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Agnico Eagle continues to win from high gold prices. February&#8217;s geopolitical shocks (operation against Iran) pushed gold to new all-time highs, and gold mining companies surged along.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gold is trading at <strong>$2,150+ per ounce<\/strong> (all-time high), meaning record profits for AEM.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding. Gold remains a safe haven asset in times of geopolitical instability. While wars and uncertainty continue \u2013 gold will rise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) \u2013 +101.14% \ud83e\udd48<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $1,196.10 USD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> +101.14%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 5.81% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AMD pulled back slightly from +138% (January) to +101% (February) due to general semiconductor sector correction. But the company remains one of the strongest positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Latest news:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AMD MI300X GPUs continue to show strong demand<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Microsoft and Meta use AMD for NVIDIA diversification<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Data center segment growth continues<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Long-term hold. AMD is one of three players in AI chips (along with NVIDIA and Intel), and it continues to take market share.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor) \u2013 +107.65% (RRSP) \/ +104.89% (TFSA) \ud83e\udd49<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>RRSP:<\/strong> $1,129.65 USD (+107.65%)<br><strong>TFSA:<\/strong> $376.54 USD (+104.89%)<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 7.31% (total)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TSMC showed fantastic recovery from +83% (January) to +107% (February)! The company benefited from:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Strong demand for AI chips (NVIDIA, AMD, Apple)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Successful 3nm process launch<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Announcement of new orders from Apple for A18 chips<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>TSMC remains <strong>irreplaceable<\/strong> in the world of semiconductors. No other company can produce chips at this level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One of the highest quality positions. Holding, possible additions on dips.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. VG (Venture Global) \u2013 +34.59%<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $663.09 USD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> +34.59%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 3.22% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Venture Global remains one of the best January acquisitions! Military operation against Iran raised gas and oil prices, and VG shot up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Threats of Hormuz Strait closure (through which 20% of world oil passes) led to panic in energy markets, and LNG companies got a huge boost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding. Energy security is a decades-long trend, and Venture Global remains one of the beneficiaries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. OLA (Orla Mining) \u2013 +130.66% \ud83d\udc8e<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $1,181.01 CAD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> +130.66%<br><strong>Dividends Received:<\/strong> $0.81 CAD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second gold mining company in the portfolio that benefited from rising gold prices. OLA also paid small dividends ($0.81 CAD).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Orla Mining is a young company with strong potential. It develops deposits in Mexico and the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding. Gold remains strong, and OLA has potential for further growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"741\" height=\"848\" src=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rrsp-portfolio-february-2026.jpg\" alt=\"Real RRSP portfolio end of February 2026\" class=\"wp-image-173\" srcset=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rrsp-portfolio-february-2026.jpg 741w, https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/rrsp-portfolio-february-2026-262x300.jpg 262w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 741px) 100vw, 741px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd34 Biggest Losses of February<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. HOWL (Werewolf Therapeutics) \u2013 -70.70% \ud83d\udc94<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $13.28 USD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> -70.70%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 0.06% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The worst investment in the portfolio continues to fall. Biotech remains the riskiest sector, and HOWL is a bright example.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the position is so small (0.06%) that it doesn&#8217;t matter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding as a reminder of biotech risks. If the company announces a breakthrough \u2013 might recover. If not \u2013 will lose another $13.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. BBAI (BigBear.ai) \u2013 -54.36%<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $43.44 USD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> -54.36%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 0.21% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Second worst position. AI hype didn&#8217;t help BigBear.ai, and the company continues to fall.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What&#8217;s next:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding as speculation, but chances of recovery are decreasing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. GSY (GoEasy) \u2013 -30.02%<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $267.86 CAD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> -30.02%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 1.30% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GoEasy suffered from general financial sector correction. The company provides consumer loans, and in conditions of high Fed interest rates, business is under pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. SPCB (SuperCom) \u2013 -32.28%<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $60.87 USD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> -32.28%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 0.30% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SuperCom is a microcap company engaged in electronic monitoring (GPS bracelets for prisoners). High volatility -32% per month is normal for such small companies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. ALLT (Allot) \u2013 -25.65%<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $252.80 USD<br><strong>Return:<\/strong> -25.65%<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 1.23% (TFSA)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Comment:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Allot (cybersecurity) suffered from general tech sector sell-off. The company has a strong product, but the market is devaluing all small-cap tech.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfaf Analysis of Key Positions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Celestica (CLS) \u2013 Champion Under Pressure<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>January:<\/strong> +316.81%<br><strong>February:<\/strong> +312.61%<br><strong>Change:<\/strong> -4.20% for the month<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $3,787.80 CAD<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 18.40% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What happened:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Celestica continued declining from peak +423% (November) \u2192 +342% (December) \u2192 +316% (January) \u2192 +312% (February).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In 3 months, the stock lost <strong>-26% from peak<\/strong>, although it remains at +312% from entry price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Reasons for decline:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>General tech sector correction<\/strong> (SaaSpocalypse hit everyone)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Profit-taking<\/strong> by investors after 2 years of rally<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Concerns about capital expenditure cycle<\/strong> on data centers<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Has anything fundamentally changed?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NO. Celestica continues to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Manufacture equipment for Microsoft, Google, Meta data centers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Show 20%+ annual revenue growth<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Benefit from AI boom (data center needs growing)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>My decision:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding entire position. This is the portfolio&#8217;s biggest bet (18.4%), and I understand the risk. But I believe the company&#8217;s quality hasn&#8217;t changed, and the stock can return to peaks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Alternative scenarios:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u2705 <strong>Bullish<\/strong>: Stock returns to $450-500 CAD (+40-50% from current price)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcca <strong>Base<\/strong>: Stock consolidates at $350-400 CAD<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u274c <strong>Bearish<\/strong>: Stock falls to $250-300 CAD (-30-40%)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>I&#8217;m betting on bullish or base scenario.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. NVIDIA (NVDA) \u2013 Volatility of AI King<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>January:<\/strong> +0.24%<br><strong>February:<\/strong> -6.32%<br><strong>Change:<\/strong> -6.56% for the month<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $1,066.86 USD<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 5.18% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What happened:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NVIDIA fell from $189.80 (January entry price) to $177.81 (end of February). This is a decline of <strong>-6.32%<\/strong>, which is better than the overall tech sector (-20-30%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Reasons for decline:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>&#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;<\/strong> \u2013 fears that AI isn&#8217;t paying off as quickly as expected<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>ROI concerns<\/strong> \u2013 companies investing hundreds of billions in AI, but profits not yet visible<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Profit-taking<\/strong> after 2 years of 500%+ growth<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Has anything fundamentally changed?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NO. NVIDIA remains:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Absolute monopolist in AI chips (80%+ market)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Demand for H100\/H200\/Blackwell GPUs remains huge<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Queue for new chips \u2013 months of waiting<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Every AI company depends on NVIDIA<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>My decision:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding and <strong>ready to add<\/strong> on further dips. If stock falls to $150-160, will add 2-3 more shares.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Long-term thesis unchanged:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AI isn&#8217;t hype. It&#8217;s a fundamental economic change, and NVIDIA powers this revolution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. CoreWeave (CRVW) \u2013 &#8220;Gold Rush Shovels&#8221; Under Pressure<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>January:<\/strong> +15.20%<br><strong>February:<\/strong> -1.34%<br><strong>Change:<\/strong> -16.54% for the month<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $713.52 USD<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 3.47% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What happened:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CoreWeave fell from peak +15% to -1.34%. This is a sharp decline of <strong>-16.54%<\/strong> in a month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Reasons for decline:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Same &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221; fears:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>What if demand for AI infrastructure isn&#8217;t that big?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What if companies cut AI spending?<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>What if hyperscalers (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) crush CoreWeave?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Has anything fundamentally changed?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NO. CoreWeave continues to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sign long-term contracts with AI companies<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Expand capacity<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Show revenue growth<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>My decision:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding. CoreWeave is a young public company (IPO 2024), and high volatility is normal. Long-term thesis hasn&#8217;t changed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. SentinelOne (S) \u2013 Cybersecurity Under Fire<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>January:<\/strong> -3.67%<br><strong>February:<\/strong> -9.10%<br><strong>Change:<\/strong> -5.43% for the month<br><strong>Current Value:<\/strong> $488.03 USD<br><strong>Portfolio Share:<\/strong> 2.37% (RRSP)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What happened:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SentinelOne continued declining from -3.67% to -9.10%. Cybersecurity companies suffered from general tech sector sell-off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Reasons for decline:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>&#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;<\/strong> hit all SaaS companies<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SentinelOne is still unprofitable (though revenue growing 30%+ annually)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Competition with CrowdStrike (market leader)<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Has anything fundamentally changed?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NO. Cybersecurity remains critical for every company. Cyber threats aren&#8217;t disappearing \u2013 they&#8217;re only growing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>My decision:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holding. SentinelOne is a long-term bet for 3-5 years. Short-term volatility doesn&#8217;t change the thesis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcca Portfolio Structure<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sector Allocation (February 2026):<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Technology \/ AI \/ Semiconductors:<\/strong> ~35%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AMD, TSM, NVIDIA, CoreWeave, META, AMZN<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Gold and Resources:<\/strong> ~15%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>AEM, OLA, BRVO<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Energy \/ LNG:<\/strong> ~8%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>VG, NLR, EOG<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cybersecurity:<\/strong> ~5%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>SentinelOne, ALLT<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Financials:<\/strong> ~3%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>GSY<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Biotech:<\/strong> ~0.5%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>HOWL, SRTS<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Other (small positions):<\/strong> ~8%\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>LLY, APP, UNH, SPCB, DV, INVZ, BBAI, IONQ, QS, XRP<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cash:<\/strong> ~0%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Diversification Analysis:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Portfolio is well-diversified across sectors:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u2705 Tech\/AI \u2013 main bet, but not the only one<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u2705 Gold \u2013 safe haven in crisis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u2705 Energy \u2013 benefited from geopolitics<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u2705 Cybersecurity \u2013 long-term trend<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Problem Areas:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u274c Too many small, illiquid positions (HOWL, BBAI, SPCB, QS)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u274c Some positions &lt;1% of portfolio \u2013 too small to matter<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Largest Positions (Top 10):<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>CLS<\/strong> (Celestica): 18.40%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AEM<\/strong> (Agnico Eagle): 6.72%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>TSM<\/strong> (Taiwan Semi): 7.31% (RRSP + TFSA)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AMD<\/strong>: 5.81%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>OLA<\/strong> (Orla Mining): 5.74%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>NVDA<\/strong> (NVIDIA): 5.18%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>CRVW<\/strong> (CoreWeave): 3.47%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>AMZN<\/strong> (Amazon): 3.05%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>VG<\/strong> (Venture Global): 3.22%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>S<\/strong> (SentinelOne): 2.37%<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Total Top 10:<\/strong> ~61% of portfolio<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Concentration:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Portfolio is quite concentrated \u2013 top 10 positions account for 61%. This is a conscious choice: <strong>quality &gt; quantity<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udca1 February Lessons<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Worked \u2705<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Diversification Saved the Portfolio<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>When the tech sector fell 20-30%, my positions in <strong>gold (+137%, +130%)<\/strong> and <strong>energy (+34%)<\/strong> helped smooth the blow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Result: -0.93% instead of potential -10-15%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lesson:<\/strong> Don&#8217;t keep all eggs in one basket, even if that basket is called &#8220;AI&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Emotional Resilience During Panic<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>February showed the worst days for tech sector in years. &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221; created panic, and many investors sold at the worst point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I <strong>didn&#8217;t sell anything<\/strong>. On the contrary, I:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Added $800 to account<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Bought Amazon on dip<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Added XRP and QS as speculations<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lesson:<\/strong> Best opportunities appear during panic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Gold as Safe Haven Works<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>AEM (+137%) and OLA (+130%) showed that gold isn&#8217;t just an &#8220;old-fashioned&#8221; asset. It&#8217;s <strong>insurance<\/strong> against geopolitical crises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>When US and Israel attacked Iran, gold hit an all-time high.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lesson:<\/strong> Always keep 10-15% of portfolio in assets that don&#8217;t correlate with tech\/stocks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Can Be Improved \ud83d\udcda<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Too Many Dead Weight Positions<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>HOWL (-70%), BBAI (-54%), SPCB (-32%), ALLT (-25%) \u2013 these are <strong>ballast<\/strong> of the portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>These positions occupy ~$500 USD of capital that could work better in NVIDIA, Amazon, or even gold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Plan:<\/strong> Sell in March-April when there&#8217;s any recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. XRP and QS \u2013 Too Early to Judge<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>XRP (-24%) and QS (-26%) are both in the red. These are speculative positions, and they need time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But if in 3-6 months they remain at -30-40%, need to admit mistake and exit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Lesson:<\/strong> Lottery tickets may not work out. Need to have stop-loss in mind.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. CoreWeave and SentinelOne \u2013 Patience<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p>Both positions are in the red after first month:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CoreWeave: -1.34%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>SentinelOne: -9.10%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>But these are <strong>long-term bets<\/strong> for 3-5 years. One month means nothing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Plan:<\/strong> Hold and ignore short-term fluctuations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udd2e What&#8217;s Ahead for Markets?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Macroeconomic Factors<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1. Will &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221; Continue?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Analysts are divided:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2705 <strong>Optimistic scenario:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sell-off has gone too far<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AI will complement SaaS, not replace it<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Entrenched companies (Microsoft, Salesforce) will adapt<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u274c <strong>Pessimistic scenario:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>This is structural decline (like newspapers in 2000s)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Per-seat model is dead<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AI-native companies replacing legacy SaaS<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>My opinion:<\/strong> Truth is in the middle. Some SaaS companies (with strong moats) will adapt. Others (weak, with easily replaceable products) will disappear.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2. Consequences of Military Operation Against Iran<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is the biggest unknown. Possible scenarios:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u2705 <strong>Short-term escalation:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Iran responds, but limitedly<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Conflict stabilizes in 1-2 months<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Oil\/gas prices slightly decrease<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u274c <strong>Long-term war:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Hormuz Strait blockade<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Global energy crisis<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Recession due to high energy prices<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3. Fed and Interest Rates<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fed keeps rates at 5.25-5.50%. Inflation remains high (~3-4%).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This means:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>High rates = pressure on tech stocks<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Growth may slow<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Consumer under pressure<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Technology Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>1. AI Continues to Grow<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;, AI revolution won&#8217;t stop:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NVIDIA will continue selling GPUs<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>AWS\/Azure\/Google Cloud will continue building data centers<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>New AI applications will emerge<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>2. Semiconductors Remain Critical<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chips are the oil of the 21st century. Every trend (AI, EV, IoT, 5G) needs semiconductors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>AMD, TSM, NVIDIA will remain winners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>3. Cybersecurity Doesn&#8217;t Disappear<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the contrary, with AI, cyber threats only grow. SentinelOne and similar companies have a long-term future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udcdd Plans for March 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Monitoring and Patience<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>March is a month of <strong>observation<\/strong>, not active actions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What to track:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\ud83d\udcca <strong>Earnings season<\/strong>: NVIDIA, AMD, Amazon, CoreWeave will report for Q4 2025 \/ Q1 2026<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83c\udf0d <strong>Geopolitics<\/strong>: Development of situation with Iran<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\ud83d\udcbb <strong>&#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221;<\/strong>: Will software sector stabilize?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Possible Sales of Weak Positions<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If there&#8217;s any recovery:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u274c <strong>HOWL<\/strong> (-70%): Sell and realize loss<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u274c <strong>BBAI<\/strong> (-54%): Sell if no news<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u274c <strong>SPCB<\/strong> (-32%): Consider selling<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Freed capital (~$500-600 USD) to reinvest in:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>NVIDIA (on dips)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Amazon (add 1 share)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>TSM (add on dips)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Adding to NVIDIA When Possible<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If NVIDIA falls to <strong>$150-160<\/strong>, will add <strong>2-3 more shares<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Long-term thesis unchanged, and every dip is an opportunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. Continue Portfolio Cleanup<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Goal: <strong>reduce from 28-29 to 20-22 positions<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sell the weakest, concentrate on quality.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Monitor XRP and QS<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>These two positions are lottery tickets. Give them 3-6 months to recover.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If in six months they remain at -30-40%, admit mistake and exit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83c\udfaf February Conclusions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>February 2026 became a <strong>stress test for the portfolio<\/strong>. Two global crises simultaneously:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>&#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221; in tech sector<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Military operation against Iran<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Result: <strong>-0.93%<\/strong> \u2013 not bad given the circumstances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Key Conclusions:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Diversification Saves<\/strong><br>Gold (+137%, +130%) and energy (+34%) compensated tech decline.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Emotional Resilience More Important Than Analysis<\/strong><br>Panic creates opportunities, not threats.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Quality Companies Survive Crises<\/strong><br>AMD, TSM, NVIDIA, Celestica \u2013 all fell, but fundamentals haven&#8217;t changed.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Lottery Tickets Are Gambling<\/strong><br>XRP and QS can shoot up, or can fall to zero. Must be ready for both scenarios.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Markets Are Unpredictable<\/strong><br>No one could predict &#8220;SaaSpocalypse&#8221; or war with Iran. Therefore, must be ready for anything.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ahead \u2013 March.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We&#8217;ll watch earnings, track geopolitics, and prepare for new opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Markets are volatile, but long-term thesis unchanged:<br><strong>Technology, AI, semiconductors, gold, energy<\/strong> \u2013 these are megatrends of the next 10 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And I&#8217;m staying in the game. \ud83d\udcaa\ud83d\ude80<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\ud83d\udccc Key Portfolio Metrics<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Metric<\/th><th>Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>Total Value<\/strong><\/td><td>$20,579.03 CAD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Monthly Return<\/strong><\/td><td>-0.93%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>YTD 2026<\/strong><\/td><td>+1.13%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>ROI Since Start<\/strong><\/td><td>+43.36%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Invested<\/strong><\/td><td>$14,355 CAD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Profit<\/strong><\/td><td>+$6,224.03 CAD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Number of Positions<\/strong><\/td><td>28<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Dividends Received<\/strong><\/td><td>$0.81 CAD<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Next Report: March 2026<\/strong> \ud83d\udcca<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See you in a month! \ud83d\udc4b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/invest2stocks.org\/?p=164\" type=\"post\" id=\"164\">Read the previous investing report for January 2026<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\ud83d\udcc8 Key Metrics for the Month (February 2026) Portfolio Return: -0.93% (for the month)Total Portfolio Value: $20,579.03 CADMonthly Change: -$193.88 CADYTD 2026 Return: +1.13%Total Invested Since Start: $14,355 CAD (+$800 CAD added in February)Realized Profit: +$6,224.03 CADROI Since Start: +43.36% Quick Overview February 2026 became one of the most tense months for global markets in&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":174,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_kad_post_transparent":"","_kad_post_title":"","_kad_post_layout":"","_kad_post_sidebar_id":"","_kad_post_content_style":"","_kad_post_vertical_padding":"","_kad_post_feature":"","_kad_post_feature_position":"","_kad_post_header":false,"_kad_post_footer":false,"_kad_post_classname":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3,1],"tags":[69,52,63,36,35,53,57,62,64,27,70,30,48,66,49,68,31,65,39,67,61,46,51,24,56,42,55,38],"class_list":["post-170","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-personal-investing-results","category-stock-market-investing-blog","tag-agnico-eagle","tag-ai","tag-amazon","tag-amd","tag-celestica","tag-coreweave","tag-cybersecurity","tag-february-2026","tag-geopolitics","tag-gold","tag-growth-stocks","tag-investing","tag-investment-report","tag-iran","tag-nvidia","tag-orla-mining","tag-portfolio","tag-quantumscape","tag-rrsp","tag-saaspocalypse","tag-semiconductors","tag-sentinelone","tag-stock-market","tag-stocks","tag-tech-stocks","tag-tfsa","tag-venture-global","tag-xrp"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Investment Report February 2026: SaaSpocalypse &amp; Iran War<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"February 2026 investment report. 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